I gave a presentation today on the outlook for the Irish economy at the annual conference of the Regional Science Association International (British and Irish Section). The presentation was considerably more upbeat than many I have done in recent years but still discusses a number of important medium-term risks to the economy. Slides are here in PowerPoint form and here in PDF.
Schäuble is working hard to undermine the deal that attempts to keep Greece in the euro area. And his key argument is pure fiction.
Here is a piece I wrote for Huffington Post on the implications of the Greek No vote.
Some thoughts on what may happen after Greece’s referendum tomorrow.
Some comments on today’s ECB Governing Council decision to cap ELA for Greek banks.
A discussion of the mechanism that is potentially driving Greece out of the Eurozone and its implications for the future of the euro.
Prior to Monday’s umpteenth “summit to beat all summits”, some context on how we arrived at the current situation in Greece.
There seems to be a new brand of op-ed at the FT. Formerly respected academics write crazy things about the euro crisis, particularly Greece. Some thoughts on a particularly nutty piece on Greece by Francesco Giavazzi.
My assessment of the future for the UK economy: Slow growth, more austerity and constitutional uncertainty. Despite the belief that they are better at handling the economy, the Tories will contribute significantly to two of these three elements.
I probably shouldn’t have been but I was fairly shocked by the level of discussion of the immigration issue in last week’s UK leaders debate. Some concrete facts and context here.